These are our model’s picks for the week, with the betting market’s line alongside for comparison. Where we differ from the market, that difference is the whole opinion — and the market is very good. Treat a small disagreement as noise.
Every game this week
| Game | Our pick | Predicted margin | Market line |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT @ CLE Final: CLE by 3 (we said 1.3) | CLE | by 1.3 | PIT by 2.5 |
| IND @ WAS Final: IND by 17 (we said 0.4) | IND | by 0.4 | IND by 4.5 |
| TEN @ BAL Final: BAL by 6 (we said 12.7) | BAL | by 12.7 | BAL by 11.5 |
| NE @ BUF Final: NE by 3 (we said 7.3) | BUF | by 7.3 | BUF by 7 |
| NYJ @ CHI Final: CHI by 11 (we said 8.3) | CHI | by 8.3 | CHI by 3.5 |
| JAX @ CIN Final: JAX by 5 (we said 1.6) | JAX | by 1.6 | CIN by 2.5 |
| DAL @ HOU Final: DAL by 4 (we said 1.5) | HOU | by 1.5 | HOU by 3 |
| ARI @ NYG Final: NYG by 12 (we said 7.2) | NYG | by 7.2 | ARI by 2.5 |
| LA @ PHI Final: LA by 4 (we said 0.0) | LA | by 0.0 | LA by 3.5 |
| GB @ TB Final: GB by 3 (we said 3.8) | GB | by 3.8 | GB by 3 |
| MIA @ MIN Final: MIN by 5 (we said 7.7) | MIN | by 7.7 | MIN by 10 |
| KC @ LV Final: KC by 3 (we said 1.2) | LV | by 1.2 | KC by 4.5 |
| LAC @ SEA Final: SEA by 7 (we said 11.0) | SEA | by 11.0 | SEA by 7 |
| DEN @ SF Final: SF by 10 (we said 5.5) | SF | by 5.5 | SF by 3 |
| DET @ CAR Final: CAR by 6 (we said 1.6) | DET | by 1.6 | DET by 4.5 |
| ATL @ NO | NO | by 2.0 | NO by 1.5 |
What changed this week
Our numbers update daily. Every time a call moved, it is logged here with the time we moved it.
Wed 30 Sep, 3:57 PM PDT
- GB @ TB — GB by 0.2 is now TB by 0.0.
Sat 3 Oct, 12:00 PM PDT
- IND @ WAS — WAS by 4.4 is now IND by 0.4.
- LA @ PHI — PHI by 0.9 is now LA by 0.0.
- GB @ TB — TB by 0.0 is now GB by 3.8.
For Science and the love of the game!!! What you do with this data is up to you!!!