We went 11-5 on winners, 69%, with an average margin error of 8.7 points.
Where we got it wrong
5 calls missed the winner outright. Worst first:
- ATL @ GB — we said GB by 3.5. ATL won by 21. We were 24.4 points out.
- KC @ MIA — we said MIA by 2.2. KC won by 14. We were 16.2 points out.
- LV @ NO — we said NO by 7.7. LV won by 8. We were 15.7 points out.
- SEA @ WAS — we said SEA by 7.0. WAS won by 2. We were 9.0 points out.
- HOU @ IND — we said HOU by 3.7. IND won by 2. We were 5.7 points out.
Where we were closest
- TEN @ NYG — we said NYG by 5.4, final margin 5. 0.4 points out.
- NYJ @ DET — we said DET by 8.9, final margin 7. 1.9 points out.
- CIN @ PIT — we said PIT by 0.7, final margin 3. 2.3 points out.
Us against the market
We named a different winner from the betting market in 4 games and got 3 of 4 right. Those are the calls worth judging us on — agreeing with the odds every week would make the exercise pointless.
- CAR @ CLE — we had CLE by 0.4, the market had the other side. CLE won by 3. Ours.
- KC @ MIA — we had MIA by 2.2, the market had the other side. KC won by 14. Theirs.
- CIN @ PIT — we had PIT by 0.7, the market had the other side. PIT won by 3. Ours.
- PHI @ CHI — we had CHI by 3.4, the market had the other side. CHI won by 20. Ours.
For Science and the love of the game!!! What you do with this data is up to you!!!