We went 9-7 on winners, 56%, with an average margin error of 12.4 points.
Where we got it wrong
7 calls missed the winner outright. Worst first:
- DEN @ KC — we said DEN by 6.0. KC won by 21. We were 27.1 points out.
- SF @ LA — we said LA by 3.4. SF won by 20. We were 23.4 points out.
- ARI @ LAC — we said LAC by 8.7. ARI won by 12. We were 20.7 points out.
- MIA @ LV — we said MIA by 6.0. LV won by 14. We were 20.0 points out.
- NYJ @ TEN — we said TEN by 2.7. NYJ won by 13. We were 15.7 points out.
- DAL @ NYG — we said DAL by 1.0. NYG won by 8. We were 9.0 points out.
- BUF @ HOU — we said HOU by 1.7. BUF won by 5. We were 6.7 points out.
Where we were closest
- NE @ SEA — we said SEA by 4.7, final margin 3. 1.7 points out.
- NO @ DET — we said DET by 2.8, final margin 1. 1.8 points out.
- ATL @ PIT — we said PIT by 3.7, final margin 7. 3.3 points out.
Us against the market
We named a different winner from the betting market in 3 games and got 0 of 3 right. Those are the calls worth judging us on — agreeing with the odds every week would make the exercise pointless.
- BUF @ HOU — we had HOU by 1.7, the market had the other side. BUF won by 5. Theirs.
- MIA @ LV — we had MIA by 6.0, the market had the other side. LV won by 14. Theirs.
- DEN @ KC — we had DEN by 6.0, the market had the other side. KC won by 21. Theirs.
For Science and the love of the game!!! What you do with this data is up to you!!!