We went 9-7 on winners, 56%, with an average margin error of 11.6 points.
Where we got it wrong
7 calls missed the winner outright. Worst first:
- CAR @ ATL — we said ATL by 3.1. CAR won by 31. We were 34.1 points out.
- CIN @ HOU — we said HOU by 4.7. CIN won by 14. We were 18.7 points out.
- LV @ LAC — we said LAC by 5.3. LV won by 12. We were 17.3 points out.
- NO @ BAL — we said BAL by 9.1. NO won by 7. We were 16.1 points out.
- CLE @ TB — we said TB by 6.9. CLE won by 4. We were 10.9 points out.
- JAX @ DEN — we said JAX by 3.1. DEN won by 7. We were 10.1 points out.
- MIN @ CHI — we said CHI by 3.5. MIN won by 6. We were 9.5 points out.
Where we were closest
- GB @ NYJ — we said GB by 2.7, final margin 3. 0.3 points out.
- IND @ KC — we said KC by 2.5, final margin 3. 0.5 points out.
- PHI @ TEN — we said PHI by 4.8, final margin 4. 0.8 points out.
Us against the market
We named a different winner from the betting market in 2 games and got 0 of 2 right. Those are the calls worth judging us on — agreeing with the odds every week would make the exercise pointless.
- CAR @ ATL — we had ATL by 3.1, the market had the other side. CAR won by 31. Theirs.
- JAX @ DEN — we had JAX by 3.1, the market had the other side. DEN won by 7. Theirs.
For Science and the love of the game!!! What you do with this data is up to you!!!