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NFL Week 6 Wrap-Up — 2026

We went 7-7 on winners, 50%, with an average margin error of 8.1 points.

Where we got it wrong

7 calls missed the winner outright. Worst first:

  • ARI @ LA — we said LA by 11.3. ARI won by 2. We were 13.3 points out.
  • HOU @ JAX — we said JAX by 8.5. HOU won by 3. We were 11.5 points out.
  • TEN @ IND — we said IND by 5.1. TEN won by 6. We were 11.1 points out.
  • NO @ NYG — we said NYG by 3.4. NO won by 7. We were 10.4 points out.
  • CHI @ ATL — we said ATL by 2.3. CHI won by 8. We were 10.3 points out.
  • BAL @ CLE — we said BAL by 4.6. CLE won by 3. We were 7.6 points out.
  • SEA @ DEN — we said SEA by 1.5. DEN won by 3. We were 4.5 points out.

Where we were closest

  • BUF @ LV — we said BUF by 5.7, final margin 3. 2.7 points out.
  • SEA @ DEN — we said SEA by 1.5, final margin 3. 4.5 points out.
  • NYJ @ NE — we said NE by 11.6, final margin 7. 4.6 points out.

Us against the market

We named a different winner from the betting market in 3 games and got 1 of 3 right. Those are the calls worth judging us on — agreeing with the odds every week would make the exercise pointless.

  • CHI @ ATL — we had ATL by 2.3, the market had the other side. CHI won by 8. Theirs.
  • NO @ NYG — we had NYG by 3.4, the market had the other side. NO won by 7. Theirs.
  • DAL @ GB — we had GB by 2.5, the market had the other side. GB won by 10. Ours.

For Science and the love of the game!!! What you do with this data is up to you!!!