We went 11-5 on winners, 69%, with an average margin error of 6.4 points.
Where we got it wrong
5 calls missed the winner outright. Worst first:
- ATL @ NO — we said NO by 2.0. ATL won by 21. We were 23.0 points out.
- NE @ BUF — we said BUF by 7.3. NE won by 3. We were 10.3 points out.
- DET @ CAR — we said DET by 1.6. CAR won by 6. We were 7.6 points out.
- DAL @ HOU — we said HOU by 1.5. DAL won by 4. We were 5.5 points out.
- KC @ LV — we said LV by 1.2. KC won by 3. We were 4.2 points out.
Where we were closest
- GB @ TB — we said GB by 3.8, final margin 3. 0.8 points out.
- PIT @ CLE — we said CLE by 1.3, final margin 3. 1.7 points out.
- MIA @ MIN — we said MIN by 7.7, final margin 5. 2.7 points out.
Us against the market
We named a different winner from the betting market in 4 games and got 3 of 4 right. Those are the calls worth judging us on — agreeing with the odds every week would make the exercise pointless.
- PIT @ CLE — we had CLE by 1.3, the market had the other side. CLE won by 3. Ours.
- JAX @ CIN — we had JAX by 1.6, the market had the other side. JAX won by 5. Ours.
- ARI @ NYG — we had NYG by 7.2, the market had the other side. NYG won by 12. Ours.
- KC @ LV — we had LV by 1.2, the market had the other side. KC won by 3. Theirs.
For Science and the love of the game!!! What you do with this data is up to you!!!