We went 8-6 on winners, 57%, with an average margin error of 11.5 points. 1 game ended in a tie and is excluded from the record — nobody won, so scoring it against us would invent a result.
Where we got it wrong
6 calls missed the winner outright. Worst first:
- CHI @ GB — we said CHI by 1.9. GB won by 24. We were 25.9 points out.
- TB @ DAL — we said DAL by 10.2. TB won by 8. We were 18.2 points out.
- MIN @ NO — we said NO by 0.1. MIN won by 10. We were 10.1 points out.
- CLE @ NYJ — we said CLE by 4.7. NYJ won by 5. We were 9.7 points out.
- BAL @ ATL — we said ATL by 1.9. BAL won by 7. We were 8.9 points out.
- SF @ SEA — we said SEA by 2.6. SF won by 3. We were 5.6 points out.
Where we were closest
- BUF @ LA — we said BUF by 0.4, final margin 3. 2.6 points out.
- DEN @ LAC — we said DEN by 3.0, final margin 6. 3.0 points out.
- CIN @ MIA — we said CIN by 3.5, final margin 7. 3.5 points out.
Us against the market
We named a different winner from the betting market in 3 games and got 1 of 3 right. Those are the calls worth judging us on — agreeing with the odds every week would make the exercise pointless.
- MIN @ NO — we had NO by 0.1, the market had the other side. MIN won by 10. Theirs.
- CLE @ NYJ — we had CLE by 4.7, the market had the other side. NYJ won by 5. Theirs.
- BUF @ LA — we had BUF by 0.4, the market had the other side. BUF won by 3. Ours.
For Science and the love of the game!!! What you do with this data is up to you!!!